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kelee877
04-26-2009, 07:20 AM
John G I need your twirrly lights....This is new a revised....They did this in 2005 also...I don,t have a copy of the old one to compair it too..will go hunting for something..need to see what they have changed.

http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/phase/en/index.html



Current WHO phase of pandemic alert




Current phase of alert in the WHO global influenza preparedness plan


Pandemic preparedness (http://www.who.int/entity/csr/disease/influenza/pandemic/en/index.html)
In the 2009 revision of the phase descriptions, WHO has retained the use of a six-phased approach for easy incorporation of new recommendations and approaches into existing national preparedness and response plans. The grouping and description of pandemic phases have been revised to make them easier to understand, more precise, and based upon observable phenomena. Phases 1–3 correlate with preparedness, including capacity development and response planning activities, while Phases 4–6 clearly signal the need for response and mitigation efforts. Furthermore, periods after the first pandemic wave are elaborated to facilitate post pandemic recovery activities.
The current WHO phase of pandemic alert is 3.

In nature, influenza viruses circulate continuously among animals, especially birds. Even though such viruses might theoretically develop into pandemic viruses, in Phase 1 no viruses circulating among animals have been reported to cause infections in humans.


In Phase 2 an animal influenza virus circulating among domesticated or wild animals is known to have caused infection in humans, and is therefore considered a potential pandemic threat.


In Phase 3, an animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus has caused sporadic cases or small clusters of disease in people, but has not resulted in human-to-human transmission sufficient to sustain community-level outbreaks. Limited human-to-human transmission may occur under some circumstances, for example, when there is close contact between an infected person and an unprotected caregiver. However, limited transmission under such restricted circumstances does not indicate that the virus has gained the level of transmissibility among humans necessary to cause a pandemic.


Phase 4 is characterized by verified human-to-human transmission of an animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus able to cause “community-level outbreaks.” The ability to cause sustained disease outbreaks in a community marks a significant upwards shift in the risk for a pandemic. Any country that suspects or has verified such an event should urgently consult with WHO so that the situation can be jointly assessed and a decision made by the affected country if implementation of a rapid pandemic containment operation is warranted. Phase 4 indicates a significant increase in risk of a pandemic but does not necessarily mean that a pandemic is a forgone conclusion.


Phase 5 is characterized by human-to-human spread of the virus into at least two countries in one WHO region (Figure 4). While most countries will not be affected at this stage, the declaration of Phase 5 is a strong signal that a pandemic is imminent and that the time to finalize the organization, communication, and implementation of the planned mitigation measures is short.


Phase 6, the pandemic phase, is characterized by community level outbreaks in at least one other country in a different WHO region in addition to the criteria defined in Phase 5. Designation of this phase will indicate that a global pandemic is under way.


During the post-peak period, pandemic disease levels in most countries with adequate surveillance will have dropped below peak observed levels. The post-peak period signifies that pandemic activity appears to be decreasing; however, it is uncertain if additional waves will occur and countries will need to be prepared for a second wave.
Previous pandemics have been characterized by waves of activity spread over months. Once the level of disease activity drops, a critical communications task will be to balance this information with the possibility of another wave. Pandemic waves can be separated by months and an immediate “at-ease” signal may be premature.
In the post-pandemic period, influenza disease activity will have returned to levels normally seen for seasonal influenza. It is expected that the pandemic virus will behave as a seasonal influenza A virus. At this stage, it is important to maintain surveillance and update pandemic preparedness and response plans accordingly. An intensive phase of recovery and evaluation may be required.

kelee877
04-26-2009, 07:21 AM
Current WHO phase of pandemic alert

Current phase of alert in the WHO global influenza preparedness plan

Pandemic preparedness (http://www.who.int/entity/csr/disease/influenza/pandemic/en/index.html)
In the 2009 revision of the phase descriptions, WHO has retained the use of a six-phased approach for easy incorporation of new recommendations and approaches into existing national preparedness and response plans. The grouping and description of pandemic phases have been revised to make them easier to understand, more precise, and based upon observable phenomena. Phases 1–3 correlate with preparedness, including capacity development and response planning activities, while Phases 4–6 clearly signal the need for response and mitigation efforts. Furthermore, periods after the first pandemic wave are elaborated to facilitate post pandemic recovery activities.
The current WHO phase of pandemic alert is 3.


http://www.who.int/entity/csr/disease/influenza/phases1-3.gif

In nature, influenza viruses circulate continuously among animals, especially birds. Even though such viruses might theoretically develop into pandemic viruses, in Phase 1 no viruses circulating among animals have been reported to cause infections in humans.


In Phase 2 an animal influenza virus circulating among domesticated or wild animals is known to have caused infection in humans, and is therefore considered a potential pandemic threat.


In Phase 3, an animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus has caused sporadic cases or small clusters of disease in people, but has not resulted in human-to-human transmission sufficient to sustain community-level outbreaks. Limited human-to-human transmission may occur under some circumstances, for example, when there is close contact between an infected person and an unprotected caregiver. However, limited transmission under such restricted circumstances does not indicate that the virus has gained the level of transmissibility among humans necessary to cause a pandemic.


Phase 4 is characterized by verified human-to-human transmission of an animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus able to cause “community-level outbreaks.” The ability to cause sustained disease outbreaks in a community marks a significant upwards shift in the risk for a pandemic. Any country that suspects or has verified such an event should urgently consult with WHO so that the situation can be jointly assessed and a decision made by the affected country if implementation of a rapid pandemic containment operation is warranted. Phase 4 indicates a significant increase in risk of a pandemic but does not necessarily mean that a pandemic is a forgone conclusion.


Phase 5 is characterized by human-to-human spread of the virus into at least two countries in one WHO region (Figure 4). While most countries will not be affected at this stage, the declaration of Phase 5 is a strong signal that a pandemic is imminent and that the time to finalize the organization, communication, and implementation of the planned mitigation measures is short.


Phase 6, the pandemic phase, is characterized by community level outbreaks in at least one other country in a different WHO region in addition to the criteria defined in Phase 5. Designation of this phase will indicate that a global pandemic is under way.


During the post-peak period, pandemic disease levels in most countries with adequate surveillance will have dropped below peak observed levels. The post-peak period signifies that pandemic activity appears to be decreasing; however, it is uncertain if additional waves will occur and countries will need to be prepared for a second wave.
Previous pandemics have been characterized by waves of activity spread over months. Once the level of disease activity drops, a critical communications task will be to balance this information with the possibility of another wave. Pandemic waves can be separated by months and an immediate “at-ease” signal may be premature.
In the post-pandemic period, influenza disease activity will have returned to levels normally seen for seasonal influenza. It is expected that the pandemic virus will behave as a seasonal influenza A virus. At this stage, it is important to maintain surveillance and update pandemic preparedness and response plans accordingly. An intensive phase of recovery and evaluation may be required.

janetn
04-26-2009, 07:26 AM
Dont depend on WHO to be proactive in raising the threat level. They are a political body - part of the UN the are more interested in preserving the economies of countries than protecting you. The head of WHO is a useless hack IMO

WHO does not have our best interest at heart in any way shape or form

kelee877
04-26-2009, 07:29 AM
Dont depend on WHO to be proactive in raising the threat level. They are a political body - part of the UN the are more interested in preserving the economies of countries than protecting you. The head of WHO is a useless hack IMO

WHO does not have our best interest at heart in any way shape or form

That I have figured out...Thats why i am on the hunt to find the old version(the one that was on thier site yesterday) so i can see how they have changed the wording in the phases..Sometimes it is just a one word change, that can effect everything...back to the hunt...hopefully in one of the sites someone has copied and pasted the old phases...

SheWoff
04-26-2009, 07:33 AM
We should have been at 5 by now.....

obleo
04-26-2009, 07:37 AM
kelee, sweetie, do you ever sleep? Thank you for all your hard work in this...I'd have never caught that....you're an angel.

janetn
04-26-2009, 07:40 AM
We should have been at 5 by now.....

Yep

The best advice I ever heard was watch what they do not what they say.

Kaylee - I remember back when they changed the wording on the threat levels. It was a big stink then. Done I belive to save Indonesia from having to have their threat level raised to a 4 - and hence cause damage to their economy.

This flu is already spread around the world, it only remains to be seen if the fact that we are out of the traditional flu season will buy us a few months. We can only hope that is the case. It would give us time to get a vaccine made in enough numbers to be of value. Anyway we will know within the week one way or the other.

I just hope that this flu doesnt " hook up with H5N1". That would be a true nightmare senerio. We would be talking to the end of the world as we know it then.

kelee877
04-26-2009, 07:42 AM
kelee, sweetie, do you ever sleep? Thank you for all your hard work in this...I'd have never caught that....you're an angel.

As matter of fact I do sleep and real good...I have found the old ones but they are in PDF format...trying to copy over now...and the wording is different, have to do this before they bury the old stuff...:mrgreen:...never trust the government...

ovendoctor
04-26-2009, 07:43 AM
morning Sis

looks like ya got your hands full

keep up the good work

Doc.

kelee877
04-26-2009, 07:59 AM
her is PDF version of the old phases...if anyone knows how to copy just the phases from the PDF to here, can you please do it...

http://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/influenza/WHO_CDS_CSR_GIP_2005_5.pdf

Tollwatch
04-26-2009, 08:26 AM
Table 1

ku commando
04-26-2009, 08:44 AM
Let's hope I got this right.....

http://i669.photobucket.com/albums/vv57/agmaniac/phases1.png

kelee877
04-26-2009, 08:50 AM
awesome Thank You...

here is a link I found;

http://www.cste.org/specialprojects/Influenzaplans/StateMap.asp

click on the link and then click on your state and you can find pandemic preperation info and daily news updates...

CSTE State Pandemic Influenza Plans

Instructions: Please Click the State or Territory to view Pandemic Plans.
*if the letters of the state are in black click the letters
http://www.cste.org/images/USAblue.gif