Maia Majumder, MPH @maiamajumder 1h
#Ebola in #WestAfrica: Re-optimized lag between case & death reporting (still 16 days); lag-adjusted fatality = ~70%
Banned
Case fatality rate
#Ebola in #WestAfrica: Re-optimized lag between case & death reporting (still 16 days); lag-adjusted fatality = ~70%
Esquire
Well, that's a little worse than what they said before.Originally Posted by Godwit
#Ebola in #WestAfrica: Re-optimized lag between case & death reporting (still 16 days); lag-adjusted fatality = ~70%
For our struggle is not against flesh and blood, but against the rulers, against the authorities, against the powers of this dark world and against the spiritual forces of evil in the heavenly realms. Ephesians 6:12
- Pray
- Prep
- Patience
Banned
Optimism
The sooner that we can get to a 70% hospitalization rate, the cheaper the total cost will be --
Jason Anthony Tetro @JATetro 2h
@Casillic The data suggests 70% hospitalization would reduce the R0 to below 1.0 meaning the outbreak will eventually disappear. By mid-Jan.
Banned
Vaccine
World Health Organization: Experimental Ebola Vaccine Doses Will Be Ready By 2015
Geneva (AFP) - Thousands of experimental Ebola vaccine doses from British GSK and US NewLink should be ready for use by early 2015 in countries affected by the epidemic, the World Health Organization said Friday.
"If everything goes well, we may be able to begin using some of these vaccines in some of the affected countries at the very beginning of next year," said WHO assistant director general Marie-Paule Kieny.
There is no licensed treatment or vaccine against the virus that has killed nearly 3,000 people in West Africa, and the UN health agency has endorsed rushing through experimental treatments and vaccines.
WHO is especially focusing on two experimental vaccines, one made by British company GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), and the other by US group NewLink Genetics, and is working with both companies to accelerate clinical trials, Kieny said.
Some clinical trials have begun in the United States, and others are set to begin in Mali next week, she said.
The agency has already said that, if found to be safe, some doses should be available for use to healthcare workers by November and wider use could be possible early next year.
Senator
Anyone else think a 70 percent hospitalization rate in Africa is going to be next to impossible?The sooner that we can get to a 70% hospitalization rate, the cheaper the total cost will be --
@Casillic The data suggests 70% hospitalization would reduce the R0 to below 1.0 meaning the outbreak will eventually disappear. By mid-Jan.
Banned
Cases
Slides from today's talk on mathematical modeling of #Ebola in #WestAfrica are now live at
[http://maimunamajumder.wordpress.com/2014/09/26/mathematical-modeling-of-the-2014-ebola-outbreak/ …]
Crawford Kilian @Crof 3h
ECDC: Epidemiological update on outbreak of #Ebola virus disease in West Africa
http://bit.ly/1roCGt5
Tree of Liberty Contributor
Liberia
42m More: New WHO tolls show there were more than 150 Ebola deaths in Liberia alone in just 2 days - @AP
Read more on sfchronicle.com
West Africa
57m Death toll from Ebola outbreak in West Africa rises to at least 3,091 out of 6,574 cases, World Health Organization reports - @Reuters
Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, US
2h 2 Nebraska Medical Center employees fired for looking at Ebola patient's records - @OWHnews
Read more on livewellnebraska.com
Madrid, Madrid, ES
1d 2nd Spanish priest with Ebola dies in Madrid hospital - @AP
Read more on abcnews.go.com
Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, US
1d Boston obstetrician Dr. Rick Sacra says he has been confirmed to have been cleared of the Ebola virus by the CDC and, 'I feel great, except that I am extremely weak' - @AP
IF you are willing & obedient , you shall eat the good of the land: But if you refuse & rebel, You shall be devoured with the sword: for the mouth of the LORD hath spoken it. Isaiah 1:19, 20
Banned
Cases
Ian M Mackay, PhD @MackayIM 6h
#Ebola virus disease cases climb upwards, as do the deaths. Death/test #s not keeping pace.
http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2014/07/ebola-virus-disease-evd-2014-west.html …
Ian M Mackay, PhD @MackayIM 6h
>1,000 #Ebola virus cases past week. #Guinea, #liberia, #sierraleone show no sign of control, regardless of accuracy
Tree of Liberty Contributor
Liberia
1h Liberia's chief medical officer places herself under quarantine for 21 days after her assistant dies of Ebola - @AP
Read more on hosted.ap.org
IF you are willing & obedient , you shall eat the good of the land: But if you refuse & rebel, You shall be devoured with the sword: for the mouth of the LORD hath spoken it. Isaiah 1:19, 20
Judge
There is the rubber-band effect I expected and mentioned earlier this week. I would have rather been wrong...
#Ebola virus disease cases climb upwards, as do the deaths. Death/test #s not keeping pace.
http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2014/07/ebola-virus-disease-evd-2014-west.html …
Ian M Mackay, PhD @MackayIM 6h
>1,000 #Ebola virus cases past week. #Guinea, #liberia, #sierraleone show no sign of control, regardless of accuracy
For reference, here is Thursday's chart:
"See, in the last few years...we've stumbled... And when you stumble a lot, you...you start looking at your feet. We have to make people...lift their eyes back to the horizon and see the line of ancestors behind us saying, 'Make my life have meaning.' And to our inheritors before us saying, 'Create the world we will live in.' I mean, we're not just holding jobs and having dinner. We are in the process of building the future."
Outbound
The Frigid Times
http://www.frigidtimes.blogspot.com/
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