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Thread: Arctic

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    Default Arctic

    Air temperatures over the Arctic Ocean are more than 5°C above normal so far this December, with some areas more than 15°C above normal . This is partly in response to record low sea ice cover

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    3. The Arctic is getting really hot. Alaska saw its hottest year ever, with temperatures an average of 6
    degrees F above normal
    . Arctic sea ice cover took a nosedive to a new low this fall, as temperatures at the North Pole reached an insane seasonal high nearly 50 degrees above average. Reminder: There is no sun in the Arctic in December.

    http://www.businessinsider.com/5-dis...n-2016-2016-12
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    Default Dogwits finaly back, even included a graphic!

    They swore, if we gave them our weapons, that the wars of the tribes would cease.
    “As a general rule, the earlier you recognize someone is trying to kill you, the better off you’ll be.”

    "You think a wall as solid as the earth separates civilisation from barbarism. I tell you the division is a sheet of glass."



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    The sky is falling screams chicken little
    Tread carefully when walking on others freedoms because yours are on the same path.

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    Global Warming 2016: Arctic Spin

    It’s also much more informative to look, not at just the annual minimum values, but at the annual average values:


    https://tamino.wordpress.com/2016/12...6-arctic-spin/
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    Quote Originally Posted by TonyM View Post
    Global Warming 2016: Arctic Spin



    It’s also much more informative to look, not at just the annual minimum values, but at the annual average values:


    https://tamino.wordpress.com/2016/12...6-arctic-spin/
    I knew Dogwit could not resist his demons permanently
    They swore, if we gave them our weapons, that the wars of the tribes would cease.
    “As a general rule, the earlier you recognize someone is trying to kill you, the better off you’ll be.”

    "You think a wall as solid as the earth separates civilisation from barbarism. I tell you the division is a sheet of glass."



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    Well now, whatta "we" gonna do 'bout this?

    What can "we" do 'bout this here TonyM, in which there'll be any noticeable, appreciable change in the next ... century?

    What can "we" do to bring back the dinosaurs Tony?

    O.W.


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    Quote Originally Posted by Oscar Wilde View Post
    Well now, whatta "we" gonna do 'bout this?

    What can "we" do 'bout this here TonyM, in which there'll be any noticeable, appreciable change in the next ... century?

    What can "we" do to bring back the dinosaurs Tony?

    O.W.
    They swore, if we gave them our weapons, that the wars of the tribes would cease.
    “As a general rule, the earlier you recognize someone is trying to kill you, the better off you’ll be.”

    "You think a wall as solid as the earth separates civilisation from barbarism. I tell you the division is a sheet of glass."



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    Quote Originally Posted by Oscar Wilde View Post
    Well now, whatta "we" gonna do 'bout this?

    What can "we" do 'bout this here TonyM, in which there'll be any noticeable, appreciable change in the next ... century?

    What can "we" do to bring back the dinosaurs Tony?

    O.W.
    I would start with what Secretary of State designate Tillerson recently said in support of a carbon tax --

    In doing so, we must continue to lower emissions. At ExxonMobil, we share the view that the risks of climate change are serious and warrant thoughtful action. Addressing these risks requires broad-based, practical solutions around the world. Importantly, as a result of the Paris agreement, both developed and developing countries are now working together to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, while recognizing differing national responsibilities, capacities and circumstances. In our industry, the best hope for the future is to enable and encourage long-term investments in both proven and new technologies, while supporting effective policies.

    Which is what we are doing. We have long supported a carbon tax as the best policy of those being considered. Replacing the hodge-podge of current, largely ineffective regulations with a revenue-neutral carbon tax would ensure a uniform and predictable cost of carbon across the economy. It would allow market forces to drive solutions. It would maximize transparency, reduce administrative complexity, promote global participation and easily adjust to future developments in our understanding of climate science as well as the policy consequences of these actions.

    source: prepared remarks for Tillerson's 2016 speech at an annual Oil & Money conference, which you can find at http://corporate.exxonmobil.com/en/c...gy-environment


    Others might have additional proposals.
    Last edited by TonyM; 12-28-2016 at 08:20 AM.
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    100% Of US Warming Is Due To NOAA Data Tampering

    Posted on December 28, 2016 by tonyheller

    Climate Central just ran this piece, which the Washington Post picked up on. They claimed the US was “overwhelmingly hot” in 2016, and temperatures have risen 1,5°F since the 19th century.

    The first problem with their analysis is that the US had very little hot weather in 2016. The percentage of hot days was below average, and ranked 80th since 1895. Only 4.4% of days were over 95°F, compared with the long term average of 4.9%. Climate Central is conflating mild temperatures with hot ones.


    They also claim US temperatures rose 1.5°F since the 19th century, which is what NOAA shows.

    The problem with the NOAA graph is that it is fake data. NOAA creates the warming trend by altering the data. The NOAA raw data shows no warming over the past century


    The adjustments being made are almost exactly 1.5°F, which is the claimed warming in the article.


    The adjustments being correlate almost perfectly with atmospheric CO2. NOAA is adjusting the data to match global warming theory. This is known as PBEM (Policy Based Evidence Making.)


    The hockey stick of adjustments since 1970 is due almost entirely to NOAA fabricating missing station data. In 2016, more than 42% of their monthly station data was missing, so they simply made it up. This is easy to identify because they mark fabricated temperatures with an “E” in their database.


    When presented with my claims of fraud, NOAA typically tries to arm wave it away with these two complaints.

    1. They use gridded data and I am using un-gridded data.
    2. They “have to” adjust the data because of Time Of Observation Bias and station moves.

    Both claims are easily debunked. The only effect that gridding has is to lower temperatures slightly. The trend of gridded data is almost identical to the trend of un-gridded data.


    Time of Observation Bias (TOBS) is a real problem, but is very small. TOBS is based on the idea that if you reset a min/max thermometer too close to the afternoon maximum, you will double count warm temperatures (and vice-versa if thermometer is reset in the morning.) Their claim is that during the hot 1930’s most stations reset their thermometers in the afternoon.

    This is easy to test by using only the stations which did not reset their thermometers in the afternoon during the 1930’s. The pattern is almost identical to that of all stations. No warming over the past century. Note that the graph below tends to show too much warming due to morning TOBS.


    NOAA’s own documents show that the TOBS adjustment is small (0.3°F) and goes flat after 1990.


    Gavin Schmidt at NASA explains very clearly why the US temperature record does not need to be adjusted.
    You could throw out 50 percent of the station data or more, and you’d get basically the same answers.

    One recent innovation is the set up of a climate reference network alongside the current stations so that they can look for potentially serious issues at the large scale – and they haven’t found any yet.
    NOAA has always known that the US is not warming.

    All of the claims in the Climate Central article are bogus. The US is not warming and 2016 was not a hot year in the US. It was a very mild year.

    http://realclimatescience.com/2016/1...ata-tampering/

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