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Thread: World War III Warning Thread - Weeks of 12/26/18 - 1/8/19

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    Exclamation World War III Warning Thread - Weeks of 12/26/18 - 1/8/19

    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    Martial law expires in Ukraine KIEV (Reuters) - Martial law, imposed on Nov. 25 in some Ukrainian areas after Russia captured three Ukrainian ships, expired on Wednesday, President Petro Poroshenko told the country's security council.

    Poroshenko said earlier this month he did not plan to extend martial law beyond the one month initially foreseen unless there was a large scale attack from Russia.

    gi
    The Ukrainian navy ships were captured in the Kerch Strait, between Russian-annexed Crimea and southern Russia, which controls access to the Sea of Azov, where there are both Russian and Ukrainian ports.

    Moscow said the ships entered Russian waters while trying to cross the strait without prior notice, ignoring orders to stop. Kiev said its ships needed no Russian permission to cross the strait.

    Under the martial law, Ukraine banned Russian men of combat age from entering the country and boosted security at critical sites such as nuclear power stations and Black Sea ports.

    Ukraine's military chief said this month Russia had been ramping up its forces near the border since August and now poses the greatest military threat since 2014, the year it annexed Crimea. https://www.euronews.com/2018/12/26/...res-in-ukraine
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    ELINT News Retweeted

    Military Advisor


    @miladvisor
    19m19 minutes ago
    More
    Avangard hypersonic glider was fired from the Dombarovsky site and targeted Kura Missile Test Range, Kamchatka Peninsula (6,000km).
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    ELINT News Retweeted

    Petri Mäkelä


    @pmakela1
    31m31 minutes ago
    More Petri Mäkelä Retweeted Минобороны России
    IF this indeed was an #Avangard hypersonic maneuverable re-entry vehicle for ICBMs and IF it functioned as intended (USA should have radar/optical data of the flight path), this will change the nuclear balance quite a lot. #MAD is still there, but USA has nothing similar.
    #Russia
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    Quote Originally Posted by danielboon View Post
    ELINT News Retweeted

    Petri Mäkelä


    @pmakela1
    31m31 minutes ago
    More Petri Mäkelä Retweeted Минобороны России
    IF this indeed was an #Avangard hypersonic maneuverable re-entry vehicle for ICBMs and IF it functioned as intended (USA should have radar/optical data of the flight path), this will change the nuclear balance quite a lot. #MAD is still there, but USA has nothing similar.
    #Russia
    MAD only works if launch codes are sent out..

    First strike will remove this option..

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    AP report: Israeli official confirms Syria airstrikes as Russia objects
    Associated Press|Published: 12.27.18 , 08:16
    An Israeli security official on Wednesday confirmed responsibility for overnight airstrikes in Syria, saying the air force had hit a series of targets involved in Iranian arms transfers to the Hezbollah militant group.

    Russia had criticized the airstrike, saying it endangered civilian flights. The comments highlighted the increasingly tense relations between Israel and Russia, which have grown strained since the September downing of a Russian plane by Syrian forces responding to another Israeli raid.

    The Israeli official said the air force had attacked several Iranian targets in three main locations late Tuesday and early Wednesday. He said the targets were primarily storage and logistics facilities used by archenemy Iran to ship weapons to Hezbollah, an Iranian-backed Lebanese group that fought Israel in a 2006 war.https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,...434315,00.html
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    Trump: 'we can use Iraq as base for Syria operations'
    Reuters|Published: 12.26.18 , 23:33
    US President Donald Trump on Wednesday defended his decision to withdraw US troops from Syria during an unannounced visit to Iraq, and said that the US would remain in Iraq, adding, "In fact, we could use this as the base if we wanted to do something in Syria."

    Reuters reported last week that the Pentagon was considering using special operations teams to target Islamic State militants in Syria, based out of Iraq.https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,...434190,00.html
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    US troops withdrawn from Syria will leave via Iraq
    Jan 2, 2019 @ 16:40
    The US forces pulled out of northern Syria will initially head for Irbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, while those leaving eastern Syria will be flown out from the US Al-Asad military base in western Iraq. This was announced Thursday by Iraqi and Kurdish military spokesmen without reference to any timelines. https://www.debka.com/mivzak/us-troo...eave-via-iraq/
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    Islamic Jihad tells Iran: We will create second front in any Israel-Lebanon war
    Leader of the second biggest military organization in Gaza meets with Islamic Republic's top officials, says Palestinian people are capable of 'subduing the Zionist entity.'
    Elior Levy|Published: 01.02.19 , 15:11
    The Iranian-backed Palestinian militant group Islamic Jihad has committed to spark an escalation on the southern front if Israel enters a military conflict with Lebanon’s Hezbollah on the north, said the Palestinian faction's leader, Ziad Nakhala, in an interview to the state-owned Iranian TV channel Al-Alam.


    Islamic Jihad is the second largest military organization in Gaza. Although the group normally works in coordination with Hamas, it has recently subjugated itself almost completely to Iran, despite being a Sunni organization, and was the one that initiated a round of fighting on the southern border last October.



    "In the next confrontation with the occupation, the axis of resistance will operate from the north in Lebanon to the south in Gaza," said Nakhala.
    The interview was conducted Saturday following a series of meetings between Nakhala and Islamic Republic’s top officials, including Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, President Hassan Rouhani and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif. Nakhala arrived in Tehran accompanied by the terror group’s two senior officials, Khaled Al-Batsh and Mohammed al-Hindi.



    "Iran's support and its position (on the Palestinian issue) play a major role in defeating the efforts made to dismiss the issue of Palestinian rights,” said Nakhala after the meeting with Rouhani. “The Palestinian people are being pressured by the U.S. and Israel to accept the so-called 'deal of the century,' which is meant to close the Palestinian cause.”



    The Trump administration’s long-delayed peace plan, dubbed “deal of the century” is yet to be unveiled, but has already drawn criticism from the Palestinians who fear the deal will overwhelmingly favor the Israeli side following President Trump’s decision to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and relocate there the U.S. embassy.Rouhani following the meeting said the only way the Palestinians can defeat “the Israeli oppression” is by rising up and fighting “the Israeli entity.”



    “Muslims world-wide must support the struggle of the Palestinian people to realize their right, including the right of return … Despite the Madrid protocols and the Oslo agreements, Israel has not fulfilled its obligation to allow the Palestinian refugees to return,” the Iranian president said.



    The Islamic Jihad leader echoed Rouhani’s statements during a discussion he held with Supreme Leader Khamenei.



    "The Palestinian people are capable of subduing the Zionist entity in a way that armies haven’t been able to do. The great victories of the Palestinian people are coming,” Nakhala added.

    https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,...439685,00.html
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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    Ankara seeking Russian permission for use of Syrian airspace If you asked me what was the top lesson Turkey learned from its two major operations in Syria — Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch — my answer without hesitation would be, “Don’t enter Syria unless you are sure of air superiority.” Both operations taught Ankara that close air support provided by F-16s, armed drones and attack helicopters to protect Turkish forces on the ground and to maintain the operational tempo are vital against enemy elements equipped with well-fortified posts, tunnels, anti-tank missiles, improvised explosive devices, snipers, conventional armor and massive indirect fire support with howitzers and multiple rocket launchers.

    Turkey is well aware that a military operation in northeast Syria for Turkish soldiers to hold their ground and then advance requires, from time to time, opening Syrian airspace to the Turkish air force. During Operation Olive Branch, Ankara received substantial support from Russia involving airspace. Moscow was able to regulate the pace of the Olive Branch operation by occasionally closing Syrian airspace to the Turkish air force. Moscow’s closure of Afrin airspace to Turkish planes between March 18-24 allowed Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) elements to withdraw from Afrin to Tel Rifaat without being targeted by the Turkish air force.

    In other words, Moscow’s permission for Ankara to use Syrian airspace enables Russia to set the pace and duration of Turkish military operations inside Syria.

    Eyes again have turned to Moscow, which hosted a visit Dec. 29 by a major Turkish delegation of the foreign minister, the defense minister and the head of national intelligence.

    The top item on their agenda, although it was not mentioned in post-meeting statements, was to persuade Moscow to allow Turkey to use Syrian airspace that has already been approved by Washington on condition that Turkey take on the Islamic State (IS).

    The Russian team included Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov, presidential envoy for Syria Alexander Lavrentiev and presidential aide Yury Ushakov.

    “Turkey and Russia said they agreed on coordination in Syria to clear all terror groups after the US announcement for withdrawal from the war-torn country. Lavrov stressed that the two countries agreed on coordination of troops to eliminate the terrorist threat in Syria, adding that the agreement also covered the need to intensify the work to ensure repatriation of refugees,” the Hurriyet Daily News reported.

    The US Air Force has effectively maintained a de facto no-fly zone over northeast Syria since the summer of 2014, marking the YPG Kobani resistance against the Islamic States. The US Air Force intercepted Syrian aircraft and helicopters targeting Kurdish forces in Hasakah in August 2016 and even shot down a Syrian warplane targeting Kurdish-led forces in Tabqa in July 2017. Also, in February 2018, some US Air Force A-10s decimated a heavily equipped Assad regime armored column, which was launching an attack across the Euphrates River against critical YPG targets.

    Since the summer of 2014, despite some dangerous battle situations, the US Air Force did not intercept any Turkish aircraft nor did it target any Turkish military unit on the ground.

    But after the surprise decision by US President Donald Trump to withdraw from Syria, the Syrian air dominance situation has changed. What is obvious is that the US Air Force will no longer have the same dominance over northeast Syria. Who will be the new boss then? Undoubtedly, Russia.

    Ankara, from its experience in Syria, knows that Moscow doesn’t joke around. Turkey well knows from its shooting down of a Russian Su-24 by a Turkish F-16 on Nov. 25, 2015, how serious Turkish-Russian confrontation in Syrian air space can be. Also, Turks haven’t forgotten that four Turkish soldiers were killed at Syria’s al-Bab by ordnance dropped by Russian war planes because of “coordination error.”

    The YPG knows the importance of declaring a no-fly zone over northeast Syria. We have heard of reports that the PKK-affiliated YPG had spoken to France about possibility of declaring a de facto no-fly zone in northeast Syria.

    Some argue for a UN-imposed no-fly zone over the skies of northeast Syria, similar to the one established in Bosnia in 1993 following UN Security Council Resolution 816, which authorized the enforcement of previous bans on all flights over Bosnia. Given the Russian and Chinese power to veto in the Security Council, however, passing anything resembling this resolution today seems highly unlikely.

    Ankara, which appears to have received the blessing of the United States to use the northeast Syria airspace, followed up by sending its top defense and security officials to Moscow to secure permission for its flights. Ankara believes it is essential to use Syrian airspace both for its operations east of the Euphrates and to eradicate IS elements.

    Well-informed sources in Ankara who didn’t want to be identified said Ankara has plans to use the Syrian airspace and some bases that the United States will evacuate to eliminate IS elements who are 300-350 kilometers (185-220 miles) from the Turkish border. That would mean flights by Turkish F-16s as deep as Deir ez-Zor in Syria.

    Ankara will also ask for coordination with Russian forces to persuade Assad forces to avoid targeting Turkish air force planes and helicopters.

    In the third week of December there were unconfirmed local reports that Assad’s forces might unilaterally declare a no-fly zone upon request of the YPG.

    Ankara officials say they think that Damascus could not initiate such an action without Moscow's permission and that although Assad’s forces have S-200 and S-300 air-defense systems, they are not technically capable. Turkish sources have been telling Al-Monitor that Ankara has been closely monitoring Israel’s “preventive” air attacks against Syrian targets.

    Ankara experts say any operation Turkey plans cannot be canceled just because Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s forces have air defense systems. As a deterrent against Assad’s forces, Ankara primarily would rely on air-to-surface missiles and the TEBER-82 precision smart weapon, which were recently developed by Turkey.

    Would Turkey dare use airspace in northeast Syria despite opposition by Moscow? No. If Ankara had been thinking of an air operation despite Russian opposition, the high-ranking Turkish delegation would not have been in Moscow on Dec. 29. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/ori...-airspace.html
    Revelation 14:7
    Saying with a loud voice, Fear God, and give glory to him; for the hour of his judgment is come: and worship him that made heaven, and earth, and the sea, and the fountains of waters.
    "not to do mine own will, but the will of him that sent me.”

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