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Thread: Will Putin's Next Territory Conquest be in the EU ??

  1. #1
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    Default Will Putin's Next Territory Conquest be in the EU ??

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    This is very interesting!

    Go to first link to read ALL of this very interesting "foreign policy" article that I edited/shortened to post here. For example, omitted parts of the article discuss why/how Putin uses aggression abroad to maintain popularity and power at home... and why "Putin the thief" [as his Russian opposition calls him] might next steal territory from either Finland or Sweden. .




    March 15, 2019


    Russia's Next Land Grab Won't Be in an Ex-Soviet State. It Will Be in Europe


    " First he came for Georgia, then for Ukraine. Vladimir Putin's next target is likely to be a non-NATO nation in the EU

    Not many observers would consider the world's coldest shipping lane a geopolitical hotspot. But that may be about to change. Last week, reports emerged that a new Kremlin policy will require all international naval ships to give Russia 45 days' notice before entering the Northern Sea Route, which connects the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans via the Arctic waters north of Siberia. Every vessel on the route, where Russia has invested heavily in sophisticated military infrastructure, will also be required to have a Russian maritime pilot on board. Ships found in violation of these restrictions may be forcibly halted, detained, or - in unspecified "extreme" circumstances - "eliminated."

    The Kremlin's latest threat has gone largely unnoticed, perhaps because it's no surprise. Russian officials justify the new naval restrictions with a familiar explanation, claiming that "the more active naval operations in the Arctic of various foreign countries" require such a response.

    This is the same tactic Russian President Vladimir Putin has used to justify his military adventurism for years: From Georgia in 2008, to Ukraine in 2014, to Syria in 2015, Putin has always laid the blame for Russian aggression squarely at the West's feet. Kremlin-backed media outlets amplify this message, subjecting audiences to a constant deluge of scaremongering about "NATO encirclement" and pointing to the West's condemnations of Putin’s actions as evidence of "Russophobia."


    ** -->> I urge you to go to link to read the entire article <<-- **

    https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/03/15...JE_D4O1twQ8PWo


    " Russia's most likely target in the near future is either Finland or Sweden; although both are members of the EU, they are not members of NATO. By attacking a non-NATO country, Putin does not risk a proportional response in accordance with Article 5. But by targeting a European country, he can expect to reap the rewards of public approval at home from voters who are desperate for a victory. This is a simple cost-benefit analysis that Putin has conducted, openly, many times before. Each investment of Russian force has paid dividends. Finland and Sweden meet both requirements.

    I do not expect Russian tanks to roll into Helsinki or Stockholm unopposed. But it would be relatively simple for Moscow to execute a land grab in a remote Arctic enclave or on a small island, like Sweden’s Gotland, considering the strategic capabilities Russia has built on its northern flank. After all, who would go to war over a frozen Baltic island or piece of Finland’s tundra? NATO wouldn't, but Putin would - because the stakes are higher for him.

    Russian aggression on Scandinavian territory - in countries everyone in the West considers part of the West - might seem far-fetched. However, it was not long ago that Putin's annexation of Crimea, which I predicted, struck even Russia hawks as an outlandish doomsday scenario. A few years earlier Russia’s invasion of Georgia, despite my dire warnings, also took the world by surprise. "


    Read entire article at link

    https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/03/15...JE_D4O1twQ8PWo



    Below is a March 07, 2019 news article from "The Barents Observer" that is referenced in the "foreign policy" article above.


    " The Russian government has elaborated a set of rules for foreign naval vessels' sailing on the Northern Sea Route, Izvestia informs. The newspaper has obtained a copy of the document that states that all vessels are obliged to comply.

    The foreign state must send a notification about the voyage at least 45 days ahead of its start. Included will have to be the name of the ship, its objective, route and period of sailing, as well as ship characteristics such as length, width, deadweight, draft and type of engine power. Also the name of the ship captain must be listed.

    The ships must also have on board a Russian maritime pilot.

    In case the voyage is not conducted in line with the regulations, Russia will have the right to take extraordinary measures including its forced halt, arrest and in extreme cases elimination, Izvestia writes.

    Izvestia article:

    https://iz.ru/852943/aleksei-kozache...oda-sevmorputi


    The regulations reportedly have a prime target of keeping control over local environmental protection and commercial shipping.

    According to the newspaper, the new regulations are made following «the more active naval operations in the Arctic of various foreign countries."

    ** -->> more at link below

    " Judging from Izvestia, the new set of NSR rules has its prime aim on the USA and Nato.

    Russia has over the last years significantly strengthened its military presence in the Arctic. A series of new bases have been built and upgraded and new advance military hardware installed in the area.

    Just few days after the French vessel «Rhône» passed through the area the Northern Fleet for the first time test launched its mobile coastal defense system Bastion in the Kotelny base in the remote New Siberian Islands. Also the S300 missile system has been deployed in the region.


    New air bases are part of the picture and the Nagurskoye air base in Franz Josef Land will now be capable of handling year-round flights with heavy aircrafts."

    Go to link for entire article

    https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/se...hern-sea-route



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    Last edited by KingsX; 03-15-2019 at 01:45 PM.

  2. #2
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    Default

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    This relates to my posts on another related topic - see link

    http://www.thetreeofliberty.com/vb/s...61#post2765861


    Putin fulfills Nostradamus' prophecies in both X-72, the July 1999 "King of Terror"
    and X-86, the "King of Europe" who goes against the "King of Babylon."



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  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingsX View Post
    .



    " Russia's most likely target in the near future is either Finland or Sweden; although both are members of the EU, they are not members of NATO. By attacking a non-NATO country, Putin does not risk a proportional response in accordance with Article 5.





    Hummm... this may answer the "article 5" situation mentioned above



    NATO-Georgia Exercise 2019


    " Between March 18 and 29 "NATO-Georgia Exercise 2019" will take place at the NATO-Georgia Joint Training and Evaluation Center, Krtsanisi National Training Centre, near Tbilisi, Georgia. The Exercise will be officially opened at the Georgian Ministry of Defence "Army Hall" in Tbilisi on March 18.

    NATO-GEO EX19 is an important exercise for Georgia and a significant milestone in strengthening NATO-Georgia military-political cooperation.

    It is the second NATO-Georgia joint multinational brigade-level, Computer Assisted, Command Post exercise, where for the first time the NATO-Georgia Joint Training and Evaluation Center acts as the Officer Directing Exercise and the Georgian General Staff has Officer Conducting the Exercise status.

    The exercise is further developing the interoperability of Georgian, Allied and Partner Forces, as well as Georgian command and control capabilities. It is also testing the ability to adopt a comprehensive approach to a non-article 5 crisis response, involving civil-military cooperation with international organizations and non-governmental organizations.

    This is the second NATO-Georgia exercise to take place under the SNGP framework - a series of 15 defence capacity building measures agreed between Georgia and NATO at the Wales summit in 2014. The first NATO-Georgia exercise was conducted in 2016 involving NATO Allied and Partner Nations.

    The brigade-level exercise is scheduled by NATO Allied Command Transformation, conducted by the Georgian General Staff with the mentoring of NATO Land Command, and directed by the NATO-Georgia Joint Training and Evaluation Center mentored by NATO Joint Force Training Centre.

    The exercise will be comprised of around 350 personnel from 24 Allied Member States and partner countries: Albania, Belgium, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Estonia, France, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States; Azerbaijan, Georgia and Sweden.

    Humanitarian bodies like the inter-governmental organizations International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), United Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO) and the United Nations World Health Organization (WHO, observer) will also be present during the exercise providing direct feedback and mentorship to exercise participants.

    Media Opportunities:

    * March 18 - Opening Ceremony. Location: Georgia Ministry of Defence Army Hall, Tbilisi, Georgia. "


    https://www.act.nato.int/nato-georgia-exercise-2019




    Here is related news article:


    American B-52 bombers to fly into UK this week amid mounting Russia tensions

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politi...s-fly-14130838


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