CDC Confirms Coronavirus Case In Seattle, Expects More Cases To Come

[Idaho Bullwinkle]

I've not seen any pictures that show wide swaths of open area, but all the videos I have seen of people collapsing, indoors and out, they are wearing heavy winter clothing.

It is just that I have NO trust in governments telling a truth.
Governments can not exist if they tell the truth.

[Spike n Ree]

https://www.naturalnews.com/2020-01-...-symptoms.html

BREAKING: Coronavirus a stealth strain that can be carried by people who show NO fever or coughing symptoms… detection almost impossible under current government guidelines

Friday, January 24, 2020 by: Mike Adams

[Bear]

Origin of the virus?

Chinese researcher escorted from infectious disease lab amid RCMP investigation


Public Health Agency of Canada describes it as a possible 'policy breach,' no risk to Canadian public


Karen Pauls · CBC News · Posted: Jul 14, 2019 3:50 PM CT | Last Updated: July 14, 2019


https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manit...tion-1.5211567

[merovingian]

China Suddenly Increases Death Toll By Over 60% As Virus Jumps To Europe


by Tyler Durden
Fri, 01/24/2020 - 17:06

Summary

Here's a glimpse of new virus-related developments that occurred overnight.

• China announces another 15 deaths in Hubei province
• Total number of confirmed cases now 1,000+, 41 dead.
• China restricts travel for 46+ million people across 16 cities as the death toll surges.
• AFP reports that the virus has jumped to Europe, with three confirmed cases now in France.
• Two deaths have been reported outside Wuhan.
• Some residents displaying symptoms are being turned away from hospitals.
• Hospitals in Wuhan make urgent pleas for help and supplies.
• Beijing orders PLA medics to assist in Wuhan treating patients
• UK and US governments tell citizens to avoid outbreak zones.
• 63 suspected cases in US, Senator says 3 confirmed, with two reported so far in Illinois and California, and two suspected in Minnesota

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitic...ese-healthcare

[merovingian]

[Bear]

Financial news


UK Researcher Predicts Over 250,000 Chinese Will Have Coronavirus In Ten Days

By finanz.dk | 25. januar 2020

Via Zerohedge


When it comes to estimating the human capital and potential fallout from a highly contagious epidemic, arguably the most important variable is the R (“R-naught”) value of the disease, which represents the average number of secondary cases arising from an average primary case in a entirely susceptible population. That’s the technical definition, a simpler one is that the R, or basic reproductive number, of a contagious disease is the number of cases that a case of the disease generates over the course of its infectious period in a susceptible population. The higher this number, the more dangerous the disease, the more lethal the outcome.
Some indicative Rs are 0.9 – 2.1 for the common flu while the 1918-1919 pandemic-causing Spanish flu was estimated to have ranged from 1.4 – 2.8, with a mean of 2. Some other notable Rs are shown below, and note that SARS was between 2 and 5:

So what about the R of 2019-nCoV, also known as the coronavirus that has claimed over three dozen lives in China and infected (at least) 1,000 people? Naturally, since the disease is most active in China which is notoriously opaque especially when it comes to matters that can cause a mass panic, the best one can do is guess, and that’s what the World Health Organization did yesterday when it issued a statement on the coronavirus epidemic with the following projection:

Human-to-human transmission is occurring and a preliminary R0 estimate of 1.4-2.5 was presented. Amplification has occurred in one health care facility. Of confirmed cases, 25% are reported to be severe. The source is still unknown (most likely an animal reservoir) and the extent of human-to-human transmission is still not clear.

Needless to say, while 2.5 is quite high, and in line with that of the Spanish flu epidemic which infected about half a billion people back in 1918, killing as many as 100 million before it eventually fizzled out, the real coronavirus R number may end up being far higher. That is the working hypothesis of Jonathan Read, a UK expert on the transmission and evolutionary dynamics of infectious diseases, who has published a paper with four colleagues that estimates transmission parameters for the Wuhan coronavirus, calculates that the R of 2019-nCoV to be between 3.6-4.0 or roughly the same as SARS, and reaches a conclusion about spread of the coronavirus epidemic that is frankly terrifying.
READ ALSO SE: Florida's Iguana Invasion Is Heating Up | 3D VR180

In “Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions“, Reed et al, write that with an R of between 3.6 and 4.0, roughly 72-75% of transmissions “must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing.”
This is a major problem because Reed estimates that only 5.1% of infections in Wuhan are identified (as of Jan 24), “indicating a large number of infections in the community, and also reflecting the difficulty in detecting cases of this new disease.” Furthermore, since all of this is happening in China which is not known for making the most socially-beneficial decisions under pressure, there is an ominous possibility that Reed is actually overly optimistic.
Reed wastes no time to get to his terrifying conclusion which is that if no change in control or transmission happens, then further outbreaks will occur in other Chinese cities, “and that infections will continue to be exported to international destinations at an increasing rate.”
As a result, in 10 days time, or by February 4, 2020, Reed‘s model predicts the number of infected people in Wuhan to be greater than 250 thousand (with an prediction interval, 164,602 to 351,396);

Epidemic predictions for (A) Wuhan, (B) selected Chinese cities and (C) selected countries. Estimated detected cases are also plotted for Wuhan. READ ALSO The Majority Of Virginia Homicides Come From Only Two Metro Areas

After Wuhan, the cities with the largest outbreaks elsewhere in China are expected to be Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chongqing and Chengdu.

Predicted epidemic sizes (number of currently infected individuals) in selected cities on 4 February 2020 assuming no change in transmissibility from current time to 4 February. Reed also predicts that by 4 Feb 2020, the countries at greatest risk of importing infections through air travel are Thailand, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea, USA, Malaysia, Singapore, Australia and Vietnam. In short: virtually all of Asia will infected, and from there, the entire world is next.

Connectivity of Wuhan to other cities and provinces in mainland China, based on total commercial airline traffic from Wuhan in January 2017. Critically, Reed’s model alleges that Beijing was woefully late in its response and that recently imposed “travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February.”

Effect of imposing travel restrictions from/to Wuhan on 23 Jan 2020 onwards on the number of infections in other Chinese cities Reed’s prediction is in line with other modelling studies of travel restrictions, which find that reducing travel only serves to delay the epidemic reaching other locations, rather than suppressing the spread entirely. Still, it is important to note that his model only considered air travel, and did not consider the potential impact of travel restrictions relating to land transportation.
READ ALSO China Quarantines 3rd City As Wuhan Virus Spreads To Singapore

That said, Reed admits there is a chance that he is wrong, largely due to using flawed assumptions:

Our findings are critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage.

Yet even with these caveats in mind, Reed’s work suggests that a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is materially, perhaps catastrophically higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, “suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.”
Even assuming that most of Reed’s assumptions are overly harsh and pessimistic, his summary leaves little hope that the Coronavirus epidemic will be contained any time soon:

“We are still in the early days of this outbreak and there is much uncertainty in both the scale of the outbreak, as well as key epidemiological information regarding transmission. However, the rapidity of the growth of cases since the recognition of the outbreak is much greater than that observed in outbreaks of either SARS or MERS-CoV. This is consistent with our higher estimates of the reproductive number for this outbreak compared to these other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.”

Finally, while Reed makes no observations on the potential mortality associated with nCoV, one can make a broad observation: late on Friday, China’s Hubei province reported 15 additional coronavirus deaths, which added to the previously reported 26 casualties, bringing the total to 41. And with roughly 1,100 confirmed cases, this means that the mortality rate of the diseases has just jumped from roughly 2.5% to 4%. Which means that if Reed is correct, and if 250,000 people in Hubei alone will be infected by February 4, no less than 10,000 Chinese people will be dead in the next 2-3 weeks.
What happens after that – with China effectively paralyzed by fear and the economy grinding to a halt as nobody leave their home – is anyone’s guess.


https://finanz.dk/uk-researcher-pred...s-in-ten-days/

[Bear]

'Everyone will get infected' Nurse at corpse-strewn hospital says quarantine failing

The shocking video was captured in one of the facilities appointed by the government to receive suspected and diagnosed coronavirus patients

ByKaty GillVideo News Reporter

• 17:18, 24 JAN 2020
• Updated17:22, 24 JAN 2020

Coronavirus: Patients wait to be looked at inside Wuhan hospital
Nurses attend to patients inside of Wuhan hospital. Patients can be seen waiting to be attended while sitting next to figures lying on the floor covered by white sheets.

Corpses of coronavirus victims line hospital corridors of a hospital after becoming flooded with patients in Wuhan, as China's quarantine has extended to a further two cities.
Footage of the chilling hospital scenes, captured by a woman who claims to be a nurse, was posted to the country's social media today before being quickly censored.

In a post, the self-proclaimed medical worker said patients were being sent in non-stop without any quarantine measures in place.
She warned that "everyone will end up being infected and dying".
In the video, sheets cover what appears to be bodies sprawled up and door the corridors.



The footage circulating on social media appears to show corpses of coronavirus victims in hospital corridors (Image: Twitter)

Video at link
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/wor...trewn-21353270

[Idaho Bullwinkle]

https://blog.nomorefakenews.com/2020...chinese-virus/

by Jon Rappoport
January 24, 2020
First, a few updates. Things are moving fast.

The Chinese government has locked down Wuhan, a city of 11 million people, owing to the
“threat of the coronavirus.” There are also travel restrictions in several other Chinese cities.
What does all this prove?

Answer: Nothing.

It proves the Chinese government wants to install tighter controls. It doesn’t lead to the
conclusion that a coronavirus is making people sick or killing them.

During the so-called Zika Virus crisis of 2016, women in several countries were told not to get pregnant,
because the virus might cause brain damage in their babies. That was a form of lockdown, too.
If it were instituted for good reason, we would now be seeing massive numbers of babies all over
the world born with microcephaly (smaller heads and brain damage), as the virus spreads.
We aren’t seeing that. I covered the Zika story extensively, and proved it was a scientific fraud. A dud.

The measures government authorities enact do not constitute proof of a harmful virus. Otherwise,
presidents and kings could write science all day long simply by issuing orders.

We are now seeing photos of “people lying in the street” in Wuhan, and perhaps other Chinese cities,
so-called victims of the coronavirus. What does this prove?

Answer: Nothing.

So far, I’ve seen pictures of four or five people lying in the street or on a hospital floor.
In a city of 11 million people. If this, all by itself, were proof that a new coronavirus is a killer,
then Los Angeles and New York—with their homeless street populations—would have no people left.

The text of a patent for a coronavirus is circulating wide and far on the Web. What does this prove?

Answer: Nothing.

Patents for many viruses are obtained all the time. More specifically, these patents discuss ways of
weakening viruses or extracting material from them for the purposes of developing vaccines.
I’ve read excerpts from two different coronavirus patents, one in the US and one in the UK.
They both refer to vaccine development. They aren’t, as some people assume, slam-dunk evidence
that researchers are cooking up a virus in a lab or weaponizing it.

Well, here is a comforting development. The Chinese researcher, Zhong Nanshan, who “discovered the SARS virus”
in 2003, is now at the forefront of pronouncements about the “new coronavirus” that is shaking up China and other parts of the world.

His mere presence on the scene is a warning sign: take a grain of salt, try a pound.

Zhong Nanshan’s 2003 SARS “pandemic” was a dud. A WHO (World Health Organization) advisory
against traveling to “infected” Toronto cost merchants in the city several billion dollars.
Meanwhile, a Canadian WHO biologist, Frank Plummer, told the press he was shocked by the fact
that fewer and fewer SARS patients had the virus in their bodies. Actually, “fewer and fewer,” he said,
was approaching ZERO. Hoax. THE PURPORTED CAUSE OF THE DISEASE WASN’T THERE.
People had ordinary flu symptoms.

What do you do when this sort of embarrassment occurs? Do you confess the whole business was
a mistake or a con or a hustle? Do you own up to the fact that, when people are said to be suffering
from ordinary flu symptoms, and you’re calling it a new disease with a new cause, you’re wrong and
you’re very, very, very sorry? Do you point out that people who don’t have the cause of a new
disease in their bodies don’t have the new disease?

Of course not. You just move ahead and pray no one notices.

When you claim the grand death total from the SARS “epidemic,” worldwide, is 800 out of seven billion,
and you can’t even prove those 800 died from the “SARS virus,” do you, the World Health Organization,
admit your whole program of epidemic detection is a fraud? Do you pay Toronto several billion dollars for their troubles?

Of course not. You keep calling SARS an epidemic forever. You write fake histories.
You do whatever is necessary to maintain your phony reputation.

And when a new possible-maybe-could-be virus surfaces in China, now, you bring the same
researcher who “discovered SARS” out of mothballs, and you put him front and center.

Here’s the capper. Read carefully. The World Health Organization claims that, every year, there are
between three and five million cases of ordinary run-of-the-mill flu in the world, resulting in
290,000 to 650,000 deaths. The symptoms are indistinguishable from SARS. But for some reason,
they don’t declare ordinary flu an ongoing epidemic. No, they choose SARS, for which the cause is absent—
and they call THAT an epidemic. It caused 800 deaths, versus 290,000-650,000 deaths.

Does this make any kind of sense? Actually, it does, if they want to: increase control over the population;
condition them to expect and pray for a (watch-out TOXIC) vaccine to save them; shoot up pharmaceutical profits;
scare the pants off people; induce them to willingly accept greater surveillance wherever they go;
step up police and military presence; enact quarantines; hypnotize populations with the idea that they’re
lifelong patients under the supervision of the medical cartel; teach “safety and security” above freedom.

Just realize how right and good and true THE AUTHORITIES are, get down on your knees and
thank your lucky stars they’re here protecting the health of everyone on the planet.
They’re the Church of Biological Mysticism, and they want you as a devoted member.

Amen.

[KingsX]

Event 201
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/



A 'High-Level Exercise' Conducted 3 Months Ago Showed That A Coronavirus Pandemic Could Kill 65 Million People


January 24, 2020

by Michael Snyder

" Just over three months ago, a "high-level pandemic exercise" entitled "Event 201" was held in New York City. On October 18th the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, in conjunction with the World Economic Forum and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, brought together "15 leaders of business, government, and public health" to simulate a scenario in which a coronavirus pandemic was ravaging the planet. The current coronavirus outbreak that originated in China did not begin until December, and so at that time it was supposedly just a hypothetical exercise. The following comes from the official page for this event... "

More at link

https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/...illion-people/


Event 201

About the Event 201 exercise

Event 201 was a 3.5-hour pandemic tabletop exercise that simulated a series of dramatic, scenario-based facilitated discussions, confronting difficult, true-to-life dilemmas associated with response to a hypothetical, but scientifically plausible, pandemic. 15 global business, government, and public health leaders were players in the simulation exercise that highlighted unresolved real-world policy and economic issues that could be solved with sufficient political will, financial investment, and attention now and in the future.

The exercise consisted of pre-recorded news broadcasts, live "staff" briefings, and moderated discussions on specific topics. These issues were carefully designed in a compelling narrative that educated the participants and the audience.

The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, World Economic Forum, and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation jointly propose these recommendations.


Purpose

In recent years, the world has seen a growing number of epidemic events, amounting to approximately 200 events annually. These events are increasing, and they are disruptive to health, economies, and society. Managing these events already strains global capacity, even absent a pandemic threat. Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before one of these epidemics becomes global-a pandemic with potentially catastrophic consequences. A severe pandemic, which becomes "Event 201," would require reliable cooperation among several industries, national governments, and key international institutions.

Recent economic studies show that pandemics will be the cause of an average annual economic loss of 0.7% of global GDP - or $570 billion. The players responses to the scenario illuminated the need for cooperation among industry, national governments, key international institutions, and civil society, to avoid the catastrophic consequences that could arise from a large-scale pandemic.

Similar to the Center's 3 previous exercises - Clade X, Dark Winter, and Atlantic Storm-Event 201 aimed to educate senior leaders at the highest level of US and international governments and leaders in global industries.

It is also a tool to inform members of the policy and preparedness communities and the general public. This is distinct from many other forms of simulation exercises that test protocols or technical policies of a specific organization. Exercises similar to Event 201 are a particularly effective way to help policymakers gain a fuller understanding of the urgent challenges they could face in a dynamic, real-world crisis.


Scenario

Details about the scenario are available here.

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.o.../scenario.html


Recommendations

The next severe pandemic will not only cause great illness and loss of life but could also trigger major cascading economic and societal consequences that could contribute greatly to global impact and suffering. The Event 201 pandemic exercise, conducted on October 18, 2019, vividly demonstrated a number of these important gaps in pandemic preparedness as well as some of the elements of the solutions between the public and private sectors that will be needed to fill them. The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, World Economic Forum, and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation jointly propose these recommendations.


When/where

Friday, October 18, 2019
8:45 a.m. 12:30 p.m.
The Pierre hotel
New York, NY
Audience

An invitation-only audience of nearly 130 people attended the exercises, and a livestream of the event was available to everyone. Video coverage is available here.


Exercise team

Eric Toner, MD, is the exercise team lead from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. Crystal Watson, DrPH, MPH and Tara Kirk Sell, PhD, MA are co-leads from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. Ryan Morhard, JD, is the exercise lead from the World Economic Forum, and Jeffrey French is the exercise lead for the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

Exercise team members are Tom Inglesby, MD; Anita Cicero, JD; Randy Larsen, USAF (retired); Caitlin Rivers, PhD, MPH; Diane Meyer, RN, MPH; Matthew Shearer, MPH; Matthew Watson; Richard Bruns, PhD; Jackie Fox; Andrea Lapp; Margaret Miller; Carol Miller; and Julia Cizek.

Event 201 was supported by funding from the Open Philanthropy Project.

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/about


The Event 201 scenario

Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms.

The disease starts in pig farms in Brazil, quietly and slowly at first, but then it starts to spread more rapidly in healthcare settings. When it starts to spread efficiently from person to person in the low-income, densely packed neighborhoods of some of the megacities in South America, the epidemic explodes. It is first exported by air travel to Portugal, the United States, and China and then to many other countries. Although at first some countries are able to control it, it continues to spread and be reintroduced, and eventually no country can maintain control.

There is no possibility of a vaccine being available in the first year. There is a fictional antiviral drug that can help the sick but not significantly limit spread of the disease.

Since the whole human population is susceptible, during the initial months of the pandemic, the cumulative number of cases increases exponentially, doubling every week. And as the cases and deaths accumulate, the economic and societal consequences become increasingly severe.

The scenario ends at the 18-month point, with 65 million deaths. The pandemic is beginning to slow due to the decreasing number of susceptible people. The pandemic will continue at some rate until there is an effective vaccine or until 80-90 % of the global population has been exposed. From that point on, it is likely to be an endemic childhood disease.

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.o.../scenario.html


More Event 201 info at link

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/

[The Cub]